REIP
← Back to Land
Rank #1LandCash Flow: -$48/mo

Spring Hill, FL 34610

Address on request · Wesley Chapel

Investor score54

LOT - 3,535 sqft lot

Asking
$45,000
Offer
$42,750
$/acre
$554,512
Acres
0.08
Buildable
1,237 sf
Max units
1
Zoning
Verify with county
Flood
Check FEMA
Tax
$10/mo
HOA
$0/mo
Insurance
$38/mo
Mortgage*
$142/mo

* Mortgage estimated at 7% fixed, 30 years, 50% down. Land typically has little or no rent — CoC will often be negative until you entitle or sell.

Money Models

Summary of the various models

These numbers use a simple setup: you put half the price down and keep the property for 10 years. Each card is a different guess about how fast prices rise.

Cash left each month (half down)

-$190/mo

Rent minus taxes, HOA, insurance, and the mortgage. That’s about -10.7% a year on the money you put in.

If you pay all cash

-$48/mo

No mortgage payment. About -1.3% a year on the full purchase price.

Like the last 10 years

Uses how fast this type of property grew in Tampa over the past 10 years.

Worth in 10 years
$102,237
Rent leftovers stacked
-$22,825
Rent + price growth
$39,695

Slow growth

Assumes prices go up slowly. Safer / more careful guess.

Worth in 10 years
$49,613
Rent leftovers stacked
-$22,825
Rent + price growth
-$12,929

Normal growth

A middle-of-the-road guess for the next several years.

Worth in 10 years
$63,280
Rent leftovers stacked
-$22,825
Rent + price growth
$738

Fast growth

Assumes a strong market. Good case, not a promise.

Worth in 10 years
$92,294
Rent leftovers stacked
-$22,825
Rent + price growth
$29,752

The sections below let you move the down payment and the years if you want. You already have the picture if you stop here.

Model 1

Cash-on-cash (your yearly paycheck %)

What is this in plain English?

Imagine you put some money down to buy the house. Every month, tenants pay rent. After you pay taxes, HOA, insurance, and the mortgage, whatever cash is left is your “paycheck” from the property.

Cash-on-cash answers: “If I put in $X, what % of that do I get back each year in leftover cash?” Example: put in $100,000 and get $8,000/year left over → 8% cash-on-cash.

Move the slider to change how much you put down (1% = mostly borrowed, 100% = you pay all cash and have no mortgage payment).

If you pay all cash

-1.3%

You keep about -$48/mo every month after bills

With this down payment

-10.7%

50% down = $21,375 of your money

Cash left each month

-$190/mo

After also paying the $142/mo mortgage

50% · $21,375 · bank loan $21,375
1% down50%100% all cash
Open mortgage calculator with these numbers →

Model 2

Price growth (will the property be worth more?)

What is this in plain English?

Houses (and land) often cost more years later than they do today. That rise in price is called appreciation.

This model guesses: “If prices grow like ___, what is this property worth after 1 to 15 years?” It also tracks how much of the loan you’ve paid off, so you can see your equity (value minus what’s still owed to the bank).

Pick a growth speed below, then slide how many years you plan to hold. These are scenarios — not guarantees.

Residential land overlay on Tampa HPI (stronger 2021–22 lot demand, softer 2024–25). Illiquid — treat forward rates as scenario planning, not a forecast.

Last 1 year avg growth

-0.4% / yr

Last 5 years avg growth

11.0% / yr

Last 10 years avg growth

9.1% / yr

A middle-of-the-road guess for the next several years. Using 4.0% growth per year.

10 years
1 yr8 yr15 yr

Estimated value then

$63,280

Your equity

$44,938

Still owe bank $18,342

Profit vs cash you put in

$738

Includes rent leftover + price growth

Avg return per year

0.3%

1.03× your cash back

Recent yearly price changes · Land / lots

16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25

Model 3

Total return (rent + price growth together)

What is this in plain English?

Real estate can pay you in two ways at the same time:

  1. Rent leftovers (like a dividend) — cash you collect each year after bills and the mortgage.
  2. Price growth — the property becoming worth more than what you still owe, so your equity grows.

This model adds both over the years you chose above. That combined number is your estimated total return. Uses the same down payment and growth scenario from Models 1 and 2.

From rent (dividends)

-$22,825

10 years of leftover cash stacked up

From price growth

$23,563

Equity today minus the cash you put in

Total return

$738

On $21,375 cash in · 0.3%/yr avg

Where the money comes from (year 10)

Rent leftoversPrice growth
YearRent stackedEquity gainTotal returnAvg / yr
1-$2,283$1,927-$355-1.7%
2-$4,565$3,938-$627-1.5%
3-$6,848$6,038-$810-1.3%
4-$9,130$8,229-$901-1.1%
5-$11,413$10,516-$896-0.9%
6-$13,695$12,905-$790-0.6%
7-$15,978$15,398-$579-0.4%
8-$18,260$18,002-$258-0.2%
9-$20,543$20,722$1800.1%
10-$22,825$23,563$7380.3%
11-$25,108$26,531$1,4230.6%
12-$27,390$29,631$2,2410.8%
13-$29,673$32,870$3,1981.1%
14-$31,955$36,256$4,3011.3%
15-$34,238$39,794$5,5561.6%

Tip: change the down-payment slider in Model 1 and the years / growth buttons in Model 2 — this total-return table updates automatically.

EXITS

Development scenarios

ScenarioUnitsCostExitProfitROI
Hold / bank—$45,000$51,750$6,75015.0%
Spring Hill · Greater Tampa

Subscribe

Subscribe for the next list

Name, email, and phone. New picks come to you — you don’t have to remember to come back.

DISCLAIMERS

Figures (taxes, HOA, insurance, rent, cash flow, offer, mortgage, and model outputs) are estimates from public data and automated models — not guarantees of value, income, or returns. Full disclaimers

Licensed solicitation by Sam Kasimalla, FL Real Estate Agent, LPT Realty LLC · Equal Housing Opportunity · Read full disclaimers · Privacy policy